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Agentic AI costs to rise fivefold by 2028 as complex workflows consume more tokens

Gartner warns that agentic AI inference costs will increase more than fivefold by 2028 because complex workflows consume far more tokens, offsetting savings from cheaper models.

WHY IT MATTERS

For engineers building AI agents, the cost per task will rise sharply even as model prices fall, because agentic reasoning requires many more inference calls. This shifts the economics toward careful model selection and optimization of routing and orchestration to avoid runaway token consumption. The move to usage-based billing makes these costs harder to predict.

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The three things worth knowing

01

Gartner forecasts agentic AI costs to increase more than fivefold by the end of 2028.

02

Cheaper tokens are offset by complex workflows that consume many more tokens, driving up overall inference costs.

03

Gartner recommends optimizing inference, routing, and orchestration, and assigning each task to the most cost-efficient model capable of handling it.

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