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TECH Signal 133

Analysis tallies actual duty on Canadian goods and models household tariff costs

A new analysis uses public customs data to show duty collected on Canadian goods and a modelled estimate of household costs from tariffs on all U.S. imports since 2025.

WHY IT MATTERS

The analysis separates measured customs data from a modelled household cost estimate, making clear which numbers are observed and which rely on assumptions. For engineers working with trade or supply chain data, it demonstrates a method for combining public datasets and flagging uncertainty. It also shows the two-way nature of tariffs: U.S. importers pay duties on Canadian goods, while Canadian counter-tariffs hit American exporters.

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The three things worth knowing

01

Duty collected on Canadian goods from January to June is presented as measured customs data.

02

The household cost estimate is a model covering all U.S. imports since 2025, not just Canada.

03

Canada's counter-tariffs are paid by Canadian importers and affect American exporters, not U.S. importers.

THE CLUSTER

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thetariffcost.com via Hacker News The Tariff Cost: analysis of the costs to Americans from new tariffs on Canada Open ↗