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TECH Signal 133

Super El Niño forecast to split winter weather across North America and Europe

The first forecast for Winter 2026/2027 predicts a Super El Niño will drive a split-flow pattern, creating a major weather divide across North America and Europe.

WHY IT MATTERS

This forecast signals a potentially strong El Niño that could lead to significant weather variability across North America and Europe, affecting planning for winter operations. Engineers in energy, transportation, and logistics may need to prepare for contrasting conditions in different regions.

Written by elseif from the cluster below · every claim links back to a source

The three things worth knowing

01

Ocean temperature anomalies exceed 6°C above normal, indicating a Super El Niño.

02

A downwelling Kelvin Wave with peak anomalies over 9°C is driving the event.

03

Seasonal forecast models have consistently raised the peak strength of the El Niño with each run.

THE CLUSTER

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severe-weather.eu via Hacker News Winter 2026/2027 First Forecast: Super El Niño Drives a Major Weather Divide Open ↗